HIP-4 Outcome Markets — live on Hyperliquid mainnet since May 2026; fully collateralized, oracle-free.
76 live markets across 6 multi-outcome questions and 7 standalone markets, quoted in USDC.
Each associated outcome corresponds to a team confirmed to be participating in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. An outcome resolves to Yes if FIFA officially declares the corresponding team the champion of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. An outcome resolves to No once it becomes impossible under FIFA tournament rules for the corresponding team to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including but not limited to upon elimination from the tournament. Match results after regular time, extra time, and penalties, if applicable, are all valid for resolution purposes. If the final is postponed or delayed, the rescheduled final will be used, provided FIFA officially declares a champion by October 14, 2026 at 23:59 UTC. If FIFA officially declares a team as champion without a completed final match, including but not limited to following abandonment, walkover, forfeit, disqualification, or administrative decision, that team's outcome resolves to Yes accordingly. Any outcome not already resolved shall resolve to No if: (a) FIFA cancels the 2026 FIFA World Cup, (b) FIFA declares no champion, (c) FIFA declares any teams as co-champions, or (d) FIFA has not officially declared a champion by October 14, 2026 at 23:59 UTC. FIFA is the primary resolution source, although independent reputable news sources may be used as fallback sources if FIFA has not published the relevant result. Once resolved, subsequent appeals, corrections, reversals, or title reassignments by FIFA or any other body will not affect the market resolution. This market has not been endorsed by FIFA. References to "FIFA," the "FIFA World Cup," and any other associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this market or any affiliation with FIFA.
This market has three possible outcomes: USA, Draw, or Paraguay. Exactly one outcome will resolve to Yes; the other two will resolve to No. The market refers to the FIFA World Cup game between USA and Paraguay scheduled for June 12, 2026 (the "Game"), with results determined only after the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. USA resolves to Yes if USA wins the Game. Paraguay resolves to Yes if Paraguay wins the Game. Draw resolves to Yes if the Game ends in a draw. If the Game is postponed, delayed, or suspended and later completed, the completed Game as ultimately played will be used, provided the Game is completed by July 19, 2026 at 23:59 UTC. If FIFA officially declares either listed team as the winner of the Game without a completed Game, including but not limited to following abandonment, walkover, forfeit, disqualification, or administrative decision, that team's outcome resolves to Yes accordingly. If none of USA, Draw, or Paraguay has otherwise resolved to Yes, Draw resolves to Yes if: (a) the Game is canceled entirely with no make-up Game, or (b) the Game has not been completed by July 19, 2026 at 23:59 UTC. FIFA is the primary resolution source, although independent reputable news sources may be used as fallback sources if FIFA has not published the relevant result. Once resolved, subsequent appeals, corrections, reversals, or result reassignments by FIFA or any other body will not affect the market resolution. This market has not been endorsed by FIFA. References to "FIFA," the "FIFA World Cup," and any other associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this market or any affiliation with FIFA.
This market has three possible outcomes: Canada, Draw, or Bosnia and Herzegovina. Exactly one outcome will resolve to Yes; the other two will resolve to No. The market refers to the FIFA World Cup game between Canada and Bosnia and Herzegovina scheduled for June 12, 2026 (the "Game"), with results determined only after the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Canada resolves to Yes if Canada wins the Game. Bosnia and Herzegovina resolves to Yes if Bosnia and Herzegovina wins the Game. Draw resolves to Yes if the Game ends in a draw. If the Game is postponed, delayed, or suspended and later completed, the completed Game as ultimately played will be used, provided the Game is completed by July 19, 2026 at 23:59 UTC. If FIFA officially declares either listed team as the winner of the Game without a completed Game, including but not limited to following abandonment, walkover, forfeit, disqualification, or administrative decision, that team's outcome resolves to Yes accordingly. If none of Canada, Draw, or Bosnia and Herzegovina has otherwise resolved to Yes, Draw resolves to Yes if: (a) the Game is canceled entirely with no make-up Game, or (b) the Game has not been completed by July 19, 2026 at 23:59 UTC. FIFA is the primary resolution source, although independent reputable news sources may be used as fallback sources if FIFA has not published the relevant result. Once resolved, subsequent appeals, corrections, reversals, or result reassignments by FIFA or any other body will not affect the market resolution. This market has not been endorsed by FIFA. References to "FIFA," the "FIFA World Cup," and any other associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this market or any affiliation with FIFA.
This market has three possible outcomes: Korea Republic, Draw, or Czechia. Exactly one outcome will resolve to Yes; the other two will resolve to No. The market refers to the FIFA World Cup game between Korea Republic and Czechia scheduled for June 11, 2026 (the "Game"), with results determined only after the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Korea Republic resolves to Yes if Korea Republic wins the Game. Czechia resolves to Yes if Czechia wins the Game. Draw resolves to Yes if the Game ends in a draw. If the Game is postponed, delayed, or suspended and later completed, the completed Game as ultimately played will be used, provided the Game is completed by July 19, 2026 at 23:59 UTC. If FIFA officially declares either listed team as the winner of the Game without a completed Game, including but not limited to following abandonment, walkover, forfeit, disqualification, or administrative decision, that team's outcome resolves to Yes accordingly. If none of Korea Republic, Draw, or Czechia has otherwise resolved to Yes, Draw resolves to Yes if: (a) the Game is canceled entirely with no make-up Game, or (b) the Game has not been completed by July 19, 2026 at 23:59 UTC. FIFA is the primary resolution source, although independent reputable news sources may be used as fallback sources if FIFA has not published the relevant result. Once resolved, subsequent appeals, corrections, reversals, or result reassignments by FIFA or any other body will not affect the market resolution. This market has not been endorsed by FIFA. References to "FIFA," the "FIFA World Cup," and any other associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this market or any affiliation with FIFA.
This market has three possible outcomes: Mexico, Draw, or South Africa. Exactly one outcome will resolve to Yes; the other two will resolve to No. The market refers to the FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and South Africa scheduled for June 11, 2026 (the "Game"), with results determined only after the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Mexico resolves to Yes if Mexico wins the Game. South Africa resolves to Yes if South Africa wins the Game. Draw resolves to Yes if the Game ends in a draw. If the Game is postponed, delayed, or suspended and later completed, the completed Game as ultimately played will be used, provided the Game is completed by July 19, 2026 at 23:59 UTC. If FIFA officially declares either listed team as the winner of the Game without a completed Game, including but not limited to following abandonment, walkover, forfeit, disqualification, or administrative decision, that team's outcome resolves to Yes accordingly. If none of Mexico, Draw, or South Africa has otherwise resolved to Yes, Draw resolves to Yes if: (a) the Game is canceled entirely with no make-up Game, or (b) the Game has not been completed by July 19, 2026 at 23:59 UTC. FIFA is the primary resolution source, although independent reputable news sources may be used as fallback sources if FIFA has not published the relevant result. Once resolved, subsequent appeals, corrections, reversals, or result reassignments by FIFA or any other body will not affect the market resolution. This market has not been endorsed by FIFA. References to "FIFA," the "FIFA World Cup," and any other associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this market or any affiliation with FIFA.
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The market resolves to Change if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate range in the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement for the meeting currently scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 differs from the upper bound of the target range set by the most recent prior FOMC statement. Otherwise, the market resolves to No Change. The market also resolves to No Change if the June 16-17, 2026 meeting is canceled, or if no FOMC statement containing a rate decision for that meeting is released by 23:59 ET on July 29, 2026. The target range stated in the FOMC statement for the June 16-17, 2026 meeting determines the result. If that statement is unavailable or does not clearly state the target range, the post-meeting target range upper bound shown on the Federal Reserve's open market operations page determines the result. Resolution uses the initially released decision; later revisions after resolution are not considered. Scheduled meeting dates and source references are provided for convenience and are not binding terms of resolution.
The market resolves to San Antonio if the NBA officially declares the San Antonio Spurs the champion of the 2025-26 NBA Finals. The market resolves to New York if the NBA officially declares the New York Knicks the champion of the 2025-26 NBA Finals. The full Finals series is used for resolution purposes, including any overtime periods in individual games. If the NBA declares either listed team champion without a completed Finals series, including but not limited to following abandonment, suspension, forfeit, disqualification, or other official league decision, the market resolves for that team accordingly. If the Finals are postponed or delayed, the rescheduled series will be used, provided the NBA officially declares a champion by July 19, 2026 at 23:59 UTC. The market resolves to 0.5 if the NBA declares no champion, if neither listed team is declared champion, or if the NBA has not officially declared a champion by July 19, 2026 at 23:59 UTC. The NBA is the primary resolution source, although independent reputable news sources may be used as fallback sources if the NBA has not published the relevant result. Once resolved, subsequent appeals, corrections, reversals, or title reassignments by the NBA or any other body will not affect the market resolution.
The market resolves to San Antonio if the NBA officially declares the San Antonio Spurs the winner of Game 5 of the 2025-26 NBA Finals between the San Antonio Spurs and the New York Knicks (the "Game"). The market resolves to New York if the NBA officially declares the New York Knicks the winner of the Game. Game results, including any overtime periods, are all valid for resolution purposes. If the Game is rescheduled, postponed, or delayed and later completed, the completed Game as ultimately played is used, provided the NBA officially declares a winner by July 19, 2026 at 23:59 UTC. If the NBA declares either listed team as the winner of the Game without a completed Game, including but not limited to following abandonment, suspension, forfeit, disqualification, or other official league decision, the market resolves for that team accordingly. The market resolves to 0.5 if: (a) the Game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, (b) the NBA declares no winner, or (c) the NBA has not officially declared a winner by July 19, 2026 at 23:59 UTC. The NBA is the primary resolution source, although independent reputable news sources may be used as fallback sources if the NBA has not published the relevant result. Once resolved, subsequent appeals, corrections, reversals, or other changes to the official result by the NBA or any other body will not affect the market resolution.
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class:priceBinary|underlying:ETH|expiry:20260612-0600|targetPrice:1647.5|period:1d
class:priceBinary|underlying:SOL|expiry:20260612-0600|targetPrice:64.932|period:1d
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Implied probability is the live mid price of each side's share — a share pays 1 USDC if its side wins, so a 0.19 mid reads as 19%. Listing and prices come straight from the Hyperliquid API (outcomeMeta + allMids); the venue doesn't publish per-market volume for outcome markets, so none is shown.